Wire · operational-macro
RBI faces challenge in predicting currency demand amid UPI growth
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Fusion42 · 18 August 2026 · Fusion42 review
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is facing challenges in predicting currency demand due to a paradox of rising cash in circulation despite rapid growth in digital payments like UPI. This complicates planning for banknote production, distribution, and long-term currency management.
◆ ◆ The Wire takeaway
You need to rethink cash demand assumptions in India as banknotes remain essential despite digital payment surges. Currency production and distribution plans will need flexible adjustment as RBI navigates this unexpected growth in cash use.
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2 sources · 18 Aug 2026
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