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ASML Q2 2026: Sales Growth Flatten, China Concerns Remain — TradingView News

Published

17 July 2026

Topic

regulatory

Sectors

Semiconductors

Geography

ChinaUnited States

Source

Read at tradingview.com

Verified

Fusion42 · 17 July 2026 · Fusion42 review

ASML's Q2 2026 sales growth has slowed to an expected 10% for the full year, with China revenue collapsing from 50% of sales in 2024 to under 20% in H1 2026 due to export restrictions. The proposed US MATCH Act threatens a further 15-20% revenue loss long-term, though short-term Chinese pre-restriction buying could temporarily offset this.

This Wire brief sits within Fusion42's coverage of Semiconductors.

◆ The Wire takeaway

If you build chips outside China, ASML is about to have excess capacity and desperate need for new customers—and the US just handed you a two-year window before restrictions lock in. The service business (25% of ASML's margin) is where real money sits once machines ship; that's where you become essential to existing Chinese fabs.

Coverage

1 source · 17 Jul 2026

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Semiconductorssemiconductor-supplyexport-controlschina-restrictioneuv-lithographygeopolitical-risk