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Kalshi to allow bets on clinical trials, FDA decisions

Published

16 July 2026

Topic

opportunities

Sectors

Digital Health

Geography

United States

Source

Read at reuters.com

Verified

Fusion42 · 16 July 2026 · Fusion42 review

Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has launched betting on clinical trial outcomes and FDA regulatory decisions in partnership with AppliedXL, starting with late-stage trials and initial contracts including Gilead's anito-cel cancer drug and Summit Therapeutics' lung cancer drug. Traders are required to verify employment and cannot hold material nonpublic information.

This Wire brief sits within Fusion42's coverage of Digital Health. Wire is Fusion42's founder-focused intelligence feed: each story is connected to the funds and startups it names — every one with a live profile on Raise or Scout — so founders can follow the capital and the momentum behind the headline rather than just the headline itself. Wire analysis is one of the live surfaces Arthur reasons over.

The Wire takeaway

If you're a biotech running late-stage trials, your clinical odds are now public and tradeable—which means insider knowledge about your drug's performance just became valuable to hostile traders with deep pockets. You now have a financial adversary with direct interest in your trial stumbling.

Related on Wire

Topics

Digital Health · prediction-markets · clinical-trials · fda-approval · drug-development · information-asymmetry